Warren Mosler

Mosler’s Modern Money White Paper Remixed

Ahead of the Sustainable Prosperity Conference in Adelaide (Jan 10-12), it is worth looking at what Modern Money is again.

This is a remix of the Modern Money White Paper by Warren Mosler. The original can be found here.

Modern Money White Paper

The purpose of this white paper is to publicly present the fundamentals of MMT.

What is MMT?

MMT began largely a description of monetary operations, which are best thought of as debits and credits to accounts kept by banks, businesses, and individuals.

Warren Mosler independently originated what has been popularized as MMT in 1992.  And while subsequent research has revealed writings of authors who had similar thoughts on some of MMT’s understanding and insights, including Abba Lerner, George Knapp, Mitchell Innes, Adam Smith, and former NY Fed Chief Beardsley Ruml, MMT is unique in its analysis of monetary economies, and therefore best considered as its own school of thought.

https://www.scribd.com/document/35432615/Soft-Currency-Economics

http://moslereconomics.com/mandatory-readings/what-is-money/

What’s different about MMT?

MMT Alone Recognizes that the Australian Government and its Agents are the Only Supplier of That Which it Demands for Payment of Taxes

That is, the currency itself is a simple public monopoly.

The Australian government levies taxes, payable in Australian dollars.

The Australian dollars to pay those taxes can only originate from the Australian government and its agents.

The Australian dollars to purchase Australian Treasury securities can only originate from the Australian government and its agents.

The economy has to sell goods and services to the Australian government or borrow from the Australian government, or it will not be able to pay its taxes or purchase Australian Treasury securities.

Ramifications:

  1. The Australian government and its agents, from inception, necessarily spend or lend first; only after that can taxes be paid or state securities purchased.

This is in direct contrast to the rhetoric that states the Australian government must tax to get Australian dollars to spend, and what it doesn’t tax it must borrow from the likes of China, and leaves the debt to our grandchildren.

MMT thus recognizes that it’s not the Australian government that needs to get dollars to spend.  Instead, the driving force is that taxpayers need the Australian government’s dollars to be able to pay taxes and purchase Australian Treasury securities.

  1. Crowding out private spending or private borrowing, driving up interest rates, federal funding requirements and solvency issues are not applicable for a government that spends first and then borrows.   

http://moslereconomics.com/mandatory-readings/a-general-analytical-framework-for-the-analysis-of-currencies-and-other-commodities/

How Are You Going to Pay for It?

The Australian government, for all practical purposes, spends as follows:

After spending is authorized by Parliament, the Treasury instructs the RBA to credit the recipient’s account (change the number to a higher number) on the RBA’s books.  

For MMT, the Money Story Begins with a State that Desires to Provision Itself: 

  1. The state imposes tax requirements in the form of financial obligations.
  2. Consequently, goods and services are offered for sale to get the funds required to pay the taxes.

MMT recognizes that taxation, by design, is the cause of unemployment, defined as people seeking paid work. 

  1. The state can then buy those goods and services.
  2. Taxes can then be paid.
  3. If people, on average, want to earn more than just enough to pay taxes, goods and services will be offered for sale in sufficient quantity to obtain those extra dollars.
  4. State spending in excess of taxes — deficit spending — provides those dollars to be saved.
  5. The public debt equals the dollars spent by the state that haven’t yet been used to pay taxes.
  6. After the state has spent those extra dollars, Treasury bills, notes, and bonds can then be purchased, which deplete the accounts containing the dollars the state has already spent.
  7. Payments by the Australian government are added to exchange settlement accounts of member banks.
  8. When securities are purchased, the RBA debits exchange settlement accounts and credits securities accounts.
  9. When interest on the public debt is paid, the RBA credits reserve accounts.

How is the Public Debt Repaid?

When Australian Government Securities mature, the RBA debits the securities accounts and credits the appropriate exchange settlement (reserve) accounts. Interest on the public debt accrues to the securities accounts and the RBA credits exchange settlement (reserve) accounts to pay that interest.

There are no taxpayers or grandchildren in sight when that happens.

 What is the Relevance of MMT Today?  

The MMT understandings put policy options on the table that were not previously considered viable.

Interest Rates

MMT recognizes that a positive policy rate results in a payment of interest that can be understood as “basic income for those who already have money.”

MMT recognizes that with the government a net payer of interest, higher interest rates can impart an expansionary, inflationary (and regressive) bias through two types of channels — interest income channels and forward pricing channels.  This means that what’s called “tightening” by increasing rates may increase total spending and foster price increases, contrary to the advertised intended effects of reducing demand and bringing down inflation.  Likewise, lowering rates removes interest income from the economy which works to reduce demand and bring down inflation, again contrary to advertised intended effects.

MMT understands that a permanent 0% policy rate is the base case for analysis for a floating exchange rate policy.

MMT understands that with a permanent 0% policy rate asset prices reflect risk-adjusted valuations, and do not “continuously accelerate” as presumed by the term “asset price inflation.”

The MMT understanding of interest rates is at times in direct conflict with the understandings of central banks and the large majority of academics.  We see those “mainstream” views as at best applicable to fixed exchange rate regimes, but in any case not applicable to today’s floating exchange rate regimes.

http://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/graphs/2009/07/natural-rate-is-zero.PDF

http://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2007/12/Exchange-Rate-Policy-and-Full-Employment.htm

Inflation

Only MMT recognizes the source of the price level.  The currency itself is a public monopoly.  Monopolists are necessarily “price setters”.

Therefore:

The price level is necessarily a function of prices paid by the government’s agents when it spends, or collateral demanded when it lends.

In a market economy, the government need only set one price, letting market forces continuously determine all other prices as expressions of relative value, as further influenced by institutional structure.

http://moslereconomics-kg5winhhtut.stackpathdns.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Tcherneva_MonopolyMoney_2002.pdf

http://www.levyinstitute.org/pubs/wp_864.pdf

The Job Guarantee

Residual unemployment is caused by the government not hiring all of those that its tax liabilities have caused to become unemployed.  That is, it’s a case of a monopolist — the government – restricting ‘supply’ which in this case refers to net government spending.

Current policy is to utilize unemployment as a counter-cyclical buffer stock to promote price stability.  Another policy option is for the government to use an employed buffer stock, rather than an unemployed buffer stock, to promote price stability.

The Job Guarantee is a proposal for the Australian Government to use an employed buffer stock policy by funding a full-time job for anyone willing and able to work at a fixed rate of pay.  This wage becomes the numeraire for the currency – the price set by the monopolist that defines the value of the currency while allowing other prices to express relative value as further influenced by the institutional structure.

The Job Guarantee works to fight inflation more effectively than the current policy of using unemployment to fight inflation, as it better facilitates the transition from unemployment to private sector employment, as private employers don’t like to hire the unemployed.

It also provides for a form of full employment, and at the same time is a means to introduce minimum compensation and benefits “from the bottom up,” as private sector employers compete for Job Guarantee workers.

http://moslereconomics-kg5winhhtut.stackpathdns.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Full-Employment-AND-Price-Stability.pdf

“The 7 Deadly Innocent Frauds of Economic Policy”

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B_uw3TKux24yeDRqVmFjaTdodjFqcV9HTTkyRkZYb2JOa0d3/view


If all this looks familiar, you may remember them from 20 Simple Points to Understand MMT.

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